Are Jumpy U.S. Equities Hiding a Nasty Surprise?

It was quiet out there in the markets—spooky quiet. All five of the calmest quarters for U.S. stocks in the past 20 years have occurred since the start of 2017. Then came Oct. 10-11, when markets were hit by a storm that came out of the clear blue sky. The S&P 500 fell 5.2 percent over two days. That represented the fifth-biggest increase in volatility in the almost 90-year history of the index and its predecessors, according to Rocky Fishman, a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. equity derivatives strategist.

US Equities Mount Impressive Early Recovery

As fast as the downside breakout occurred, the upside recovery appears to be taking place as Q3 Earnings begin to hit the news wires. This past weekend, the news cycles and market experts all seemed to have opinions about where the US equities market was headed after last week’s price collapse. We’ve read everything from warnings of a $20 trillion dollar collapse to seeing Bloomberg’s SMART INDEX chart showing equity valuations are near historic market bottoms. It seems everyone wanted to get out and share their opinions – I guess we are no different.

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