Market Volatility Bulletin: Are Fed Hikes Predictable And Therefore Priced Into Equities And Equity Vol?

Summary

  • Vol is bleeding across all the major averages as tech leads.
  • The Fed could walk back a September hike if they wanted to. The point is they don’t.
  • A trader states his conviction and how he’d trade it, and why he’s not going to do it. Thoughts worth pondering.

 

Market Intro

Tech stocks (XLK) are leading today’s charge higher for US equities (SPY, DIA, IWM); The tech-heavy NASDAQ (QQQ) is unsurprisingly outperforming the other averages.

Investors continue to exit from Gold ETFs in August, prefer equities

Investors remained bearish on gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as they pulled out Rs 45 crore from the instrument in August, taking the total outflow in the first five month of 2018-19 financial year to Rs 241 crore. The net outflow meant assets under management of gold funds fell 7.5 per cent in the first five months of 2018-19 to Rs 4,445 crore in August-end, according to latest data available with Association of Mutual Funds in India (Amfi).

Investors shouldn’t let trade tensions scare them out of US equities, investment expert says

  • Amid trade tensions, don’t jump ship on U.S. equities yet, U.S. Bank’s Lisa Erickson says.
  • Nela Richardson, investment strategist at Edward Jones, says she feels comfortable with small- or mid-cap stocks in the U.S., but for large-cap, look internationally.

Amid trade tensions, don’t jump ship on U.S. equities yet, U.S. Bank’s Lisa Erickson told CNBC on Thursday.

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