Today’s ‘economic blackout’ began from an unlikely source. But it’s tapped into Americans’ anger

Investors entered the New Year cheerful about the prospects of a business- and crypto-friendly Trump administration. Yet two months into 2025, US stocks have lagged Europe and Chinese stocks, bitcoin is sliding and concerns about inflation are mounting.
US stocks largely slid Tuesday as investors digested a poor outlook from a consumer confidence survey that showed heightened concern about inflation. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index saw its largest monthly decline since August 2021.
The Dow wavered Tuesday morning but closed at 43,621, or 0.37% higher, after rising in afternoon trading. The benchmark S&P 500 closed lower by about 0.47% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 1.35%.
US stocks had rallied after Trump’s reelection in November and the S&P 500 closed at a record high just last week. Yet US markets are fretting as signs of lingering inflation are on the rise and uncertainty around Trump’s trade and tariff policy persists. Investor sentiment on Tuesday moved into extreme fear territory for the first time since December, according to CNN’s Fear & Greed Index.
As investors brace for uncertainty, they are likely moving away from stocks into safer assets like government bonds and dumping risky assets like cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, which surged as high as $106,000 around Trump’s inauguration, is down about 16% in the past month, trading around $88,000 on Tuesday.
Walmart, a bellwether for the US economy, spooked investors last week after it signaled slower sales in 2025 than previously expected.
The VIX, Wall Street’s fear gauge, surged Tuesday to its highest level this year before retreating.
While US stocks might be stretched, global markets are shining. Europe’s STOXX 600 Index has gained almost 10% this year. In China, equities continue to outperform the US.
“The release of DeepSeek’s LLM has reignited interest in China tech (now up over 35% from its January low), while the developments around Ukraine are triggering a surge in performance for European tech companies and companies exposed to potential reconstruction,” analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a February 25 note.
The Dow and the broader S&P 500 have gained since Trump’s reelection in November and are still slightly in the green since the start of 2025.
Yet the S&P 500 posted back-to-back gains of more than 20% in 2023 and 2024, raising questions about whether the bull rally can continue in 2025.
Tech stocks, which pushed US indexes higher in 2024, have wavered in recent days. Nvidia (NVDA), Palantir (PLTR) and Tesla (TSLA) were leading the selloff in stocks on Tuesday. Palantir, a star of 2024, has fallen about 30% in the past five days.
Tesla shares tumbled 8.4% on Tuesday, bringing the company’s market value below the $1 trillion mark.
Two out of three traders believe the market is overvalued, according to Charles Schwab’s quarterly trader client sentiment survey. Yet bullish traders still outnumber bearish traders 51% to 34%.
“It’s clear that the majority of traders believe there’s some froth in the market, but on balance they also feel like there’s still more room for the bulls to run,” said James Kostulias, head of trading services at Charles Schwab.
While there is looming uncertainty, some strategists think fundamentals like strong corporate earnings will drive stocks higher.
“While we continue to expect volatility ahead as investors grapple with the potential impact of Trump’s proposed policies, we believe markets are likely to refocus on fundamentals that should support the equity rally further,” said Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer for the Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management, in a note Tuesday.
A grassroots organization is calling on Americans to participate in what it’s calling the “Feb. 28 economic blackout” by refraining from buying goods from major retailers for 24 hours.
The nationwide protest comes amid rising prices on everything from gas to groceries — including, notably, eggs — and is similar to social media-fueled economic efforts that have cropped up online in recent months, including the “No Buy 2025” challenge against overconsumption.
The Feb. 28 boycott is an initiative by the People’s Union USA, a self-described “grassroots movement dedicated to economic resistance, government accountability and corporate reform.”
The group, founded by John Schwarz, says it is not affiliated with any political party. According to the organization’s website, its goal is “to unite Americans against the corruption and greed that has kept us struggling for decades.”
The daylong boycott has been promoted online by several celebrities, including John Leguizamo, Stephen King and Bette Midler.
“For our entire lives, they have told us we have no choice, that this is just how things are, that we have to accept these insane prices, the corporate greed, the billionaire tax breaks, all while we struggle just to get by,” Schwarz said in a recent Instagram video. “For one day, we are going to finally turn the tables.”‘
According to Schwarz, the idea is to halt all purchases from big corporations, both in store and online, from 12 a.m. through 11:59 p.m. on Friday, Feb. 28.
“No Amazon, no Walmart, no fast food, no gas,” he said. “Not a single unnecessary dollar spent.”
On its website, the group is urging consumers to not spend money on “non-essential” items.
For essential purchases like food, medicine, or emergency supplies, Schwarz is encouraging participants to buy them from a local small business rather than a big-box retailer.
“Do not go out and shop at any big, major store,” Schwarz said in the video. “If you have to, go to the local pizza place, the small local boutique.”
Some supporters of the blackout have suggested boycotting specific corporations that have ended their diversity, equity and inclusion programs following President Trump’s executive order targeting DEI initiatives. But while the People’s Union calls the abandonment of DEI programs “regressive and unacceptable,” the Feb. 28 boycott is aimed at all major retailers, regardless of their stance on DEI.
“If we disrupt the economy for just ONE day, it sends a powerful message,” the organization said on its website.
Schwarz told USA Today earlier this month that he hopes to boycott other businesses “that are really the biggest offenders within the system.”
The People’s Union is already planning weeklong blackouts aimed at specific retailers, including Amazon, Target and Walmart.
The first, targeting Amazon, is scheduled to begin March 7.
Industrial equipment and engineered products manufacturer Albany (NYSE:AIN) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2024, with sales falling 11.3% year on year to $286.9 million. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $1.22 billion at the midpoint came in 6% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.58 per share was 12% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
Is now the time to buy Albany? Find out in our full research report.
Revenue: $286.9 million vs analyst estimates of $299.5 million (11.3% year-on-year decline, 4.2% miss)
Adjusted EPS: $0.58 vs analyst expectations of $0.66 (12% miss)
Adjusted EBITDA: $218.9 million vs analyst estimates of $59.65 million (76.3% margin, significant beat)
Management’s revenue guidance for the upcoming financial year 2025 is $1.22 billion at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 6% and implying -1.3% growth (vs 8.1% in FY2024)
EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2025 is $250 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $276.8 million
Operating Margin: 8.5%, down from 12.9% in the same quarter last year
Free Cash Flow Margin: 21%, up from 12.2% in the same quarter last year
Market Capitalization: $2.50 billion
“We continue to perform well in both our businesses, as evidenced by strong results at Machine Clothing and ongoing operational progress steered by new leadership at Engineered Composites,” said Gunnar Kleveland, President and Chief Executive Officer.
Founded in 1895, Albany (NYSE:AIN) is a global textiles and materials processing company, specializing in machine clothing for paper mills and engineered composite structures for aerospace and other industries.
Automation that increases efficiency and connected equipment that collects analyzable data have been trending, creating new demand for general industrial machinery companies. Those who innovate and create digitized solutions can spur sales and speed up replacement cycles, but all general industrial machinery companies are still at the whim of economic cycles. Consumer spending and interest rates, for example, can greatly impact the industrial production that drives demand for these companies’ offerings.
A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Unfortunately, Albany’s 3.1% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was sluggish. This fell short of our benchmark for the industrials sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.
We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Albany’s annualized revenue growth of 9% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, suggesting its demand recently accelerated.
We can better understand the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its most important segments, Machine Clothing and Engineered Composites, which are 65.6% and 34.4% of revenue. Over the last two years, Albany’s Machine Clothing revenue (paper manufacturing belts) averaged 11.4% year-on-year growth while its Engineered Composites revenue (aerospace components) averaged 7.3% growth.
Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 3.2% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. This projection is underwhelming and suggests its products and services will see some demand headwinds.
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Albany has been a well-oiled machine over the last five years. It demonstrated elite profitability for an industrials business, boasting an average operating margin of 15.7%. This result isn’t surprising as its high gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.
Looking at the trend in its profitability, Albany’s operating margin decreased by 7.8 percentage points over the last five years. This raises an eyebrow about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.
This quarter, Albany generated an operating profit margin of 8.5%, down 4.4 percentage points year on year. Since Albany’s gross margin decreased more than its operating margin, we can assume its recent inefficiencies were driven more by weaker leverage on its cost of sales rather than increased marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead expenses.
Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.
Sadly for Albany, its EPS declined by 5% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew by 3.1%. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded due to non-fundamental factors such as interest expenses and taxes.
Diving into the nuances of Albany’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Albany’s operating margin declined by 7.8 percentage points over the last five years. This was the most relevant factor (aside from the revenue impact) behind its lower earnings; taxes and interest expenses can also affect EPS but don’t tell us as much about a company’s fundamentals.
Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.
For Albany, its two-year annual EPS declines of 9.5% show it’s continued to underperform. These results were bad no matter how you slice the data.
In Q4, Albany reported EPS at $0.58, down from $1.22 in the same quarter last year. This print missed analysts’ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Albany’s full-year EPS of $3.17 to grow 21.3%.
We were impressed by how significantly Albany blew past analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. On the other hand, its full-year revenue guidance missed significantly and its full-year EBITDA guidance fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this was a weaker quarter. The stock traded down 2.1% to $77.20 immediately following the results.
Albany underperformed this quarter, but does that create an opportunity to invest right now? We think that the latest quarter is just one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.
Theater company AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) announced better-than-expected revenue in Q4 CY2024, with sales up 18.3% year on year to $1.31 billion. Its non-GAAP loss of $0.18 per share was 10.2% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
Is now the time to buy AMC Entertainment? Find out in our full research report.
Revenue: $1.31 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.29 billion (18.3% year-on-year growth, 1.6% beat)
Adjusted EPS: -$0.18 vs analyst expectations of -$0.16 (10.2% miss)
Adjusted EBITDA: $164.8 million vs analyst estimates of $128.8 million (12.6% margin, 27.9% beat)
Operating Margin: 0.4%, up from -13.6% in the same quarter last year
Free Cash Flow was $113.9 million, up from -$149.9 million in the same quarter last year
Market Capitalization: $1.45 billion
With a profile that was raised due to meme stock mania beginning in 2021, AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) operates movie theaters primarily in the US and Europe.
Leisure facilities companies often sell experiences rather than tangible products, and in the last decade-plus, consumers have slowly shifted their spending from “things” to “experiences”. Leisure facilities seek to benefit but must innovate to do so because of the industry’s high competition and capital intensity.
A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. While any business can experience short-term success, top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Over the last five years, AMC Entertainment’s demand was weak and its revenue declined by 3.3% per year. This was below our standards and is a sign of lacking business quality.
We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within consumer discretionary, a stretched historical view may miss a company riding a successful new product or trend. AMC Entertainment’s annualized revenue growth of 8.9% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, but we were still disappointed by the results. Note that COVID hurt AMC Entertainment’s business in 2020 and part of 2021, and it bounced back in a big way thereafter.
This quarter, AMC Entertainment reported year-on-year revenue growth of 18.3%, and its $1.31 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 1.6%.
Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 10.8% over the next 12 months. While this projection suggests its newer products and services will spur better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.
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Free cash flow isn’t a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it’s telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.
While AMC Entertainment posted positive free cash flow this quarter, the broader story hasn’t been so clean. Over the last two years, AMC Entertainment’s demanding reinvestments to stay relevant have drained its resources, putting it in a pinch and limiting its ability to return capital to investors. Its free cash flow margin averaged negative 7.8%, meaning it lit $7.80 of cash on fire for every $100 in revenue.
AMC Entertainment’s free cash flow clocked in at $113.9 million in Q4, equivalent to a 8.7% margin. Its cash flow turned positive after being negative in the same quarter last year, but we wouldn’t put too much weight on the short term because investment needs can be seasonal, causing temporary swings. Long-term trends are more important.
Over the next year, analysts predict AMC Entertainment will continue burning cash, albeit to a lesser extent. Their consensus estimates imply its free cash flow margin of negative 6.4% for the last 12 months will increase to negative 2.5%.
We were impressed by how significantly AMC Entertainment blew past analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also happy its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its EPS missed significantly. Zooming out, we think this was a decent quarter featuring some areas of strength but also some blemishes. The stock traded up 4.6% to $3.43 immediately following the results.
Is AMC Entertainment an attractive investment opportunity right now? What happened in the latest quarter matters, but not as much as longer-term business quality and valuation, when deciding whether to invest in this stock. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.