GrainCorp Shares Plunge Most in a Year After Earnings Slump

(Bloomberg) — Shares in Australian commodities exporter GrainCorp Ltd. fell the most in more than a year after the company significantly missed estimates for full-year earnings and pointed to a “challenging” market amid a global supply glut and weak demand.

GrainCorp on Thursday reported a net income of A$39.9 million ($26 million) for the 12 months through September, down 35% on the previous year and well below market estimates of A$61.9 million. The company’s underlying EBITDA was up 15% year-on-year to A$307.9 million but slightly below analyst expectations.

The shares fell as much as 11% following the results announcement, the sharpest drop since February 2024. They were trading hands at A$8.33 at 10:17 a.m. in Sydney, down 6.8%.

In a presentation to investors, GrainCorp said there had been strong global production of major grains and oilseeds over the past 12 months directly competing with Australia, combined with weak pricing and “subdued customer purchasing behavior.”

Most emerging nations can realign trade to weather US tariffs, report finds

LONDON (Reuters) -Most big emerging economies, including China, Brazil and India, can weather U.S. tariffs without excessive pain, a study ​by risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft showed, raising doubt about the clout of President Donald Trump’‌s trade tools.

The firm analysed the resilience of 20 of the biggest emerging markets using measures from debt levels to export-revenue reliance ‌to gauge their ability to handle trade volatility and rapidly shifting geopolitical alliances.

“Most manufacturing hubs globally are in a better position in their current baseline than you would think or give them credit for to weather this tariff storm specifically coming out of the U.S., even if it comes to full capacity,” ⁠said Reema Bhattacharya, head of ‌Asia research who co-authored the report.

Mexico and Vietnam are among the most exposed to U.S. trade dependence, the paper showed,‍ but progressive economic policies, improving infrastructure and political stability meant they were among the more resilient economies.

Brazil and South Africa, it said, are effectively building links with other trade partners that could shield them in coming years.​

“Almost every emerging market or global market understands that we need to do business with the U.‌S. and China, but we can’t over-rely on either. So we need a third market,” Bhattacharya said, adding that trade between members of the BRICS group of developing nations was rising.

The Maplecroft paper did not examine BRICS member Russia.

China, though particularly exposed to geopolitical tensions with the United States, “is so entrenched it’s actually almost impossible to replicate it elsewhere”, ⁠she added, citing Beijing’s diversified export base and its ​human capital.

A manufacturing juggernaut, China is in the crosshairs ​of Trump’s efforts to reshape global trade policy. Data out earlier this week showed that in October, China exports suffered their worst downturn since February, shortly ‍after Trump returned to the ⁠White House.

Bhattacharya also pointed to China’s years-long effort to expand use of the renminbi in trade settlements as “a pragmatic push for economic resilience and geopolitical risk diversification”.

Brazil, Argentina ⁠and Chile have signed local-currency settlement arrangements with China’s central bank, while Chinese state-owned enterprises and investors are ‌financing lithium and copper projects in Chile, Bolivia and Peru.

Pfizer’s (NYSE:PFE) Solid Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors

Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn’t move much. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand Pfizer’s profit results, we need to consider the US$7.0b expense attributed to unusual items. It’s never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that’s hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Pfizer doesn’t see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we’d expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability.

Our Take On Pfizer’s Profit Performance

Because unusual items detracted from Pfizer’s earnings over the last year, you could argue that we can expect an improved result in the current quarter. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Pfizer’s statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Furthermore, it has done a great job growing EPS over the last year. At the end of the day, it’s essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you’d like to dive deeper into this stock, it’s crucial to consider any risks it’s facing. For instance, we’ve identified 3 warning signs for Pfizer (1 can’t be ignored) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Pfizer’s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

A Look at Yum China (NYSE:YUMC) Valuation After Strong Q3 Results and Analyst Optimism

Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) just released its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting higher operating profit, steady same-store sales growth, and a notable boost in new store openings. Analysts responded positively after the announcement.

Backed by robust Q3 results, a share buyback, and another dividend, Yum China’s stock showed modest momentum lately, climbing 5.0% over the past month. That said, the one-year total shareholder return is still down 7.3%, reflecting lingering caution as growth initiatives ramp up. Investors are watching whether margin improvements and fast store expansion can reignite long-term performance.

If new openings and digital growth in the restaurant sector have you intrigued, this could be a smart moment to broaden your perspective and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With analyst price targets suggesting considerable upside from current levels and Yum China’s fundamentals showing resilience, the question remains: Is this a market mispricing that offers investors real value, or has future growth been fully factored in?

Most Popular Narrative: 22.8% Undervalued

Yum China’s narrative fair value significantly exceeds the last close at $44.79, signaling a wide gap between price and expected upside. This setup reflects deep confidence in structural growth drivers, not just cyclical momentum.

Continued aggressive expansion into lower-tier Chinese cities and new store formats (including KCOFFEE Cafes and Pizza Hut WOW), combined with healthy new store payback periods, supports ongoing top-line revenue growth and market share gains by tapping into rising urbanization and a broadening middle class.

What is fueling this bullish price target? It centers on a transformation on the ground, with both menu reinvention and a digital overhaul elevating engagement and profitability. Find out which forecasted financial leap is set to power the next leg of growth and why it is considered the secret behind this notable valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $57.99 (UNDERVALUED)

However, intensifying competition and a shift toward lower ticket orders could challenge Yum China’s ability to sustain strong margins and long-term earnings growth.

Build Your Own Yum China Holdings Narrative

If you have a different perspective on Yum China’s story or simply want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build your own view in just minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Yum China Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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Japan’s Finance Chief Issues Fresh FX Warning as Yen Nears 155

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued a fresh warning regarding currency movements as the yen weakened toward the key threshold of 155 to the dollar, amid concerns the currency will move closer toward levels where authorities last intervened in markets. “We’re seeing one-sided, rapid currency moves of late,” Katayama said in response to questions in parliament Wednesday, adding that it can’t be denied that the negative aspects of the weak yen are becoming clearer. “The government is watching for any excessive and disorderly moves with a high sense of urgency.”
The yen weakened as far as 154.79 to the dollar before paring its losses following Katayama’s remarks, and it was last trading around 154.64. Katayama’s comments came as nervousness is building in the markets over the yen’s gradual move toward levels where interventions occured in the past. While most see that as still some distance away, further weakness in the country’s currency could trigger additional speculation, putting more pressure on Katayama to at least intervene verbally more frequently, before taking actual action. The last time Japan intervened in the foreign exchange markets was in July last year, when the yen was trading around 160 to the dollar. The yen touched its weakest level against the dollar since February on Wednesday, weighed down in part by the Bank of Japan’s dovish messaging of late. Expectations that the US government will end a shutdown in the near term also provided fresh support for the greenback. With further dips in the yen, what Katayama says on the foreign exchange markets will likely receive closer attention over the coming days. The weak yen has been contributing to continued inflation in Japan, with a key price gauge moving at or above the BOJ’s 2% target for three and a half years. Katayama said that the government will make sure to counter the impact from inflation with its upcoming economic package. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi aims to use her first stimulus package to jump start the economy and initiate a new growth strategy through investment in key industries. But she is also expected to address voter concerns through additional subsidies to lower winter utility bills and reduce gasoline taxes. While the size of that package is still unknown, it’s broadly expected to be larger than last year’s, given Takaichi’s stance of seeking responsible but expansionary fiscal policy.
Asian shares are mostly higher in cautious trading as Wall Street settles

TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly gained in cautious trading Wednesday after most U.S. stocks rose, settling back to where they were before last week’s swoon over the future of artificial intelligence.

U.S. futures edged higher while oil prices declined. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 added 0.4% to finish at 51,063.31.

SoftBank Group’s shares fell 3.5%, plunging as much as 9% earlier in the day, after it said Tuesday that it sold its entire stake in the AI chip company Nvidia for $5.83 billion last month, raising funds for other investments.

A big question has been whether investors will push the frenzy around AI stocks further. Their sensational growth has been one of the top reasons the U.S. market has hit records despite a slowing job market and still-high inflation. But their prices have shot so high that critics say they’re reminiscent of the 2000 dot-com bubble, which ultimately burst and dragged the S&P 500 down by nearly half.

Elsewhere in Asia, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.8% to 26,913.90, while the Shanghai Composite edged up less than 0.1% to 4,006.17.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 shed 0.2% to 8,799.50. South Korea’s Kospi added 1.1% to 4,151.36.

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 added 0.2% to 6,846.61. It’s been bouncing around lately, coming off Monday’s vigorous rebound following its first losing week in four.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1.2%, to a record close of 47,927.96, surpassing its prior all-time high set two weeks ago. The Nasdaq composite lagged the market as Nvidia slipped 3% due to continued concerns that stocks caught up in the artificial-intelligence frenzy may have become too expensive. The Nasdaq dipped 0.3% to 23,468.30.

Helping to lead the market was Paramount Skydance, whose shares jumped 9.8% even though the entertainment giant reported revenue and profit for the latest quarter that fell short of Wall Street’s expectations. It was the company’s first earnings report since Skydance closed its acquisition of Paramount in early August.

Close behind was FedEx, which climbed 5.4% after it increased its forecast for profit in the current quarter. Instead of expecting growth from just the summer, the delivery company now also expects profit to rise in this year’s holiday-shopping season from last year’s.

In the U.S. bond market, trading was closed for the Veterans Day holiday.

What’s making the Federal Reserve’s job potentially more difficult is that the U.S. government’s shutdown has delayed important updates on jobs and other areas of the economy. The Senate has made moves to end what’s become the longest-ever shutdown, but it’s not assured.

In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude declined 21 cents to $60.83 a barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, lost 21 cents to $64.95 a barrel.

In currency trading, the U.S. dollar edged up to 154.67 Japanese yen from 154.04 yen. The euro cost $1.1583, down from $1.1587.

Infineon Sees 2026 Revenue Growth as AI Outlook Boosts Sales

(Bloomberg) — Infineon Technologies AG forecast revenue will return to growth in the 2026 fiscal year as the global boom in artificial intelligence data centers raised its sales outlook.

The German chipmaker sees “moderate revenue growth” in the fiscal year that ends in September and increased its projected sales of power solutions for AI data centers to around €1.5 billion ($1.7 billion), it said in a statement on Wednesday.

Demand for AI data centers is helping Infineon weather weak growth prospects in its automotive market, which represents about half of sales. The forecast for the AI business marks an increase of about 50% from its guidance last quarter, when Chief Executive Officer Jochen Hanebeck said revenues from this segment will rise to €1 billion in 2026 from €600 million in the 2025 fiscal year.

“Global investment in AI infrastructure is continuing to rise rapidly and we expect considerable growth,” Hanebeck said in the statement. “Growth momentum in the automotive, industrial and consumer markets remains modest. Many customers are proceeding cautiously and placing short-term orders.”

Infineon’s 2026 outlook offers a snapshot into the car industry’s health. Auto chipmakers have been mired in a prolonged demand slump as their customers worked through stockpiles amassed after shortages during the Covid-19 pandemic. Heightened geopolitical tensions, fueled by US President Donald Trump’s trade war and potential export tariffs on semiconductors, further roiled the market.

Infineon’s 2025 revenue slipped 2% to €14.66 billion, according to the statement. That was in line with the average of analysts estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Sales in the fourth quarter were €3.94 billion, up 6% from the previous period, with all segments, including automotive, contributing to the increase.

Gross margin in the fourth quarter was 38.1%, down from 40.9% in the prior period, due to currency effects and because some products for consumer applications in the power and sensor systems division were sold for tighter margins because of underutilized production capacity.

Revenue in the first fiscal quarter is forecast at about €3.6 billion, missing the average analyst estimate of €3.75 billion.

Infineon’s management has a history of offering cautious guidance to manage expectations, according to JPMorgan analysts including Sandeep Deshpande. “Our own opinion is that lower guidance (though it may be negative on the day of the report) would be better for the stock price on a 1-year view,” they wrote in a note before the results.

In October, Infineon competitors Texas Instruments Inc. and STMicroelectronics NV posted third-quarter results that disappointed investors, signaling that the anticipated recovery in auto demand might be faltering.

Fallout from the Netherlands’ seizure of Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia in late September has further disrupted the car industry. The Dutch company’s chips play a critical role in the automotive supply chain and Beijing’s move to restrict exports of Nexperia products caused a supply crunch. The sides have since moved to resolve the conflict, Bloomberg reported previously.

Infineon offers alternatives to some chips in Nexperia’s portfolio.

Some instability caused by tariffs and geopolitical issues “will be the new normal,” Chief Financial Officer Sven Schneider said on Bloomberg TV. But as more trade agreements are reached, supply chains will become more stable, he said.

SoftBank shares slide as Nvidia stake sale highlights AI funding needs

TOKYO (Reuters) -SoftBank’s shares slid as much as 10% on Wednesday after the $5.8 billion sale of its stake in Nvidia highlighted the growing funding demands it faces to bankroll its “all-in” bet on ChatGPT ​creator OpenAI and other investments. The conglomerate needs to fund a $22.5 billion follow-on investment in OpenAI, is acquiring chipmaker Ampere in ‌a $6.5 billion deal and has agreed to buy the robotics business of Swiss group ABB for $5.4 billion. Analyst Mary Pollock at CreditSights estimates SoftBank has committed to at least $41 billion ‌in recent spending on investments and purchases. Its cash position totalled 4.2 trillion yen ($27.86 billion) at the end of September. SoftBank’s cash needs in the current quarter are “substantial”, Pollock wrote in a note. “Though SBG’s liquidity position has improved relative to when it issued its hybrids in October, we still estimate it will need to be proactive funding its recent (more than) $41 billion investment spend,” she wrote. The share drop ⁠also comes amid investor concerns about the risk that rapidly ‌rising tech valuations are overextended, even as SoftBank moves to deepen its exposure to the AI sector. SoftBank said on Tuesday it sold the Nvidia stake and also sold T-Mobile US shares for $9.2 billion between June and September. SoftBank’s ‍founder and CEO Masayoshi Son, who is known for his risk appetite and aggressive investing style, is bullish on the outlook for artificial intelligence. “I do not think SoftBank has a negative view on Nvidia,” said Rolf Bulk, analyst at New Street Research. “The position was large, liquid, and easy to monetise, and ​likely SoftBank sees even more upside in reallocating capital to OpenAI.” In June, Son said corporate winners grow stronger over time, scooping up profits,‌ and made a comparison with firms such as Alphabet’s Google and Amazon. SoftBank’s shares have had a blistering run, more than quadrupling between April and October, but have pared gains in recent days. On Wednesday, the shares recouped some of their earlier losses and ended the day down 3.46%. Shares in Nvidia and chip designer Arm, which is controlled by SoftBank, fell 3% overnight.

FUNDING NEEDS

In addition to selling shares, SoftBank has issued bonds and taken out loans to support its investments. SoftBank took out a $8.5 billion loan for its OpenAI backing and arranged a $6.5 billion bridging loan ⁠for its acquisition of Ampere, which it has not yet drawn. Since the start of April,​ SoftBank has also issued bonds in three currencies worth 620 billion yen ($4.11 billion)​, $2.2 billion and 1.7 billion euros ($1.98 billion), respectively. SoftBank’s loan-to-value ratio, a measure of indebtedness, was 16.5% at the end of September, down from 17% in the previous ‍quarter. However, SoftBank CFO Yoshimitsu ⁠Goto said at an earnings briefing on Tuesday that the end of September level was “actually a bit too safe”. Despite the increasing overvaluation concerns, Navneet Govil, CFO at SoftBank’s Vision Fund investing arm, emphasised that growing demand for AI services validates their investment ⁠thesis. “What’s different between the dotcom boom and today is that AI companies are generating meaningful revenues,” Govil told Reuters after its earnings release on Tuesday. “There’s a lot ‌of talk about capex spend, but it’s actually driven by demand,” he said. ($1 = 150.7800 yen)
UK’s Virgin Media O2 signs deal with Musk’s Starlink for rural coverage

LONDON (Reuters) -Britain’s Virgin Media O2 said it had signed a deal with Elon Musk’s Starlink to boost mobile coverage in rural areas, initially with messaging and data services when it launches in the first half of 2026.

VM O2, a joint venture between Telefonica and Liberty Global, said it would be the first British operator to use Starlink’s more than 650 satellites to connect to compatible customer handsets.

Mobile networks in the United States, Canada, Australia and other countries have signed deals with Starlink, a subsidiary of Musk’s SpaceX, for direct-to-cell services.

U.S. network T-Mobile launched commercial services in July, starting with texts before expanding to apps including WhatsApp.

VM O2’s British rival Vodafone said in January it was working with partner AST SpaceMobile to roll out satellite connection to its European customers next year.

Lutz Schüler, chief executive of VM O2, said on Thursday that Starlink operated the world’s most advanced satellite constellation and was therefore the right partner to support its ambition to deliver reliable mobile connectivity across the UK.

VM O2, which is already using Starlink’s satellites to provide mobile backhaul connections to some of its remote base stations, said it would initially offer messaging and data services directly to handsets.

It said details on pricing would be released at a later date.

How Europe’s private drone industry eyes opportunity as NATO strengthens defense

AALBORG, Denmark (AP) — In a warehouse more than 1,500 kilometers (900 miles) from Ukraine’s capital, workers in northern Denmark painstakingly piece together anti-drone devices. Some of the devices will be exported to Kyiv in the hopes of jamming Russian technology on the battlefield, while others will be shipped across Europe in efforts to combat mysterious drone intrusions into NATO’s airspace that have the entire continent on edge.

Two Danish companies whose business was predominantly defense-related now say they have a surge in new clients seeking to use their technology to protect sites like airports, military installations and critical infrastructure, all of which have been targeted by drone flyovers in recent weeks.

Weibel Scientific’s radar drone detection technology was deployed ahead of a key EU summit earlier this year to Copenhagen Airport, where unidentified drone sightings closed the airspace for hours in September. Counter-drone firm MyDefence, from its warehouse in northern Denmark, builds handheld, wearable radio frequency devices that sever the connection between a drone and its pilot to neutralize the threat.

So-called “jamming” is restricted and heavily regulated in the European Union, but widespread on the battlefields of Ukraine and has become so extensive there that Russia and Ukraine have started deploying drones tethered by thin fiber-optic cables that don’t rely on radio frequency signals. Russia also is firing attack drones with extra antenna to foil Ukraine’s jamming efforts.

A spike in drone incursions

Drone warfare exploded following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Russia has bombarded Ukraine with drone and missile attacks, striking railways, power facilities and cities across the country. Ukraine, in response, has launched daring strikes deep inside Russia using domestically produced drones.

But Europe as a whole is now on high alert after the drone flyovers into NATO’s airspace reached an unprecedented scale in September, prompting European leaders to agree to develop a “drone wall” along their borders to better detect, track and intercept drones violating Europe’s airspace. In November, NATO military officials said a new U.S. anti-drone system was deployed to the alliance’s eastern flank.

Some European officials described the incidents as Moscow testing NATO’s response, which raised questions about how prepared the alliance is against Russia. Key challenges include the ability to detect drones — sometimes mistaken for a bird or plane on radar systems — and take them down cheaply.

The Kremlin has brushed off allegations that Russia is behind some of the unidentified drone flights in Europe.

Andreas Graae, assistant professor at the Royal Danish Defense College, said there is a “huge drive” to rapidly deploy counter-drone systems in Europe amid Russia’s aggression.

“All countries in Europe are struggling to find the right solutions to be prepared for these new drone challenges,” he said. “We don’t have all the things that are needed to actually be good enough to detect drones and have early warning systems.”

Putting ‘machines before people’

Founded in 2013, MyDefence makes devices that can be used to protect airports, government buildings and other critical infrastructure, but chief executive Dan Hermansen called the Russia-Ukraine war a “turning point” for his company.

More than 2,000 units of its wearable “Wingman” detector have been delivered to Ukraine since Russia invaded nearly four years ago.

“For the past couple of years, we’ve heard in Ukraine that they want to put machines before people” to save lives, Hermansen said.

MyDefence last year doubled its earnings to roughly $18.7 million compared to 2023.

Then came the drone flyovers earlier this year. Besides Copenhagen Airport, drones flew over four smaller Danish airports, including two that serve as military bases.

Hermansen said they were an “eye-opener” for many European countries and prompted a surge of interest in their technology. MyDefence went from the vast majority of its business being defense-related to inquiries from officials representing police forces and critical infrastructure.

“Seeing suddenly that drone warfare is not just something that happens in Ukraine or on the eastern flank, but basically is something that we need to take care of in a hybrid warfare threat scenario,” he added.

Radar technology used against drones

On NATO’s eastern flank, Denmark, Poland and Romania are deploying a new weapons system to defend against drones. The American Merops system, which is small enough to fit in the back of a midsize pickup truck, can identify drones and close in on them using artificial intelligence to navigate when satellite and electronic communications are jammed.

The aim is to make the border with Russia so well-armed that Moscow’s forces will be deterred from ever contemplating crossing the line from Norway in the north to Turkey in the south, NATO military officials told The Associated Press.

North of Copenhagen, Weibel Scientific has been making Doppler radar technology since the 1970s. Typically used in tracking radar systems for the aerospace industry, it’s now being applied to drone detection like at Copenhagen Airport.

The technology can determine the velocity of an object, such as a drone, based on the change in wavelength of a signal being bounced back. Then it’s possible to predict the direction the object is moving, Weibel Scientific chief executive Peter Røpke said.

“The Ukraine war, and especially how it has evolved over the last couple of years with drone technology, means this type of product is in high demand,” Røpke said.

Earlier this year, Weibel secured a $76 million deal, which the firm called its “largest order ever.”

The drone flyovers boosted the demand even higher as discussion around the proposed “drone wall” continued. Røpke said his technology could become a “key component” of any future drone shield.