Dollar Tree says it’s winning over higher-income shoppers and may offset tariffs with price hikes

Dollar Tree said Wednesday that it’s gaining market share with higher-income consumers and could raise prices on some products to offset President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The discount retailer’s CEO, Michael Creedon, said the company is seeing “value-seeking behavior across all income groups.” While Dollar Tree has always relied on lower-income shoppers and gets about 50% of its business from middle-income consumers, sustained inflation has led to “stronger demand from higher-income customers,” Creedon said on an analyst call. Dollar Tree’s success with higher-income shoppers follows similar gains from Walmart, which has made inroads with the cohort following the prolonged period of high prices. Trump’s tariffs on certain goods from China, Mexico and Canada — and the potential for broad duties on trading partners around the world — have only added to concerns about stretched household budgets. While Dollar Tree will use tactics like negotiating with suppliers and moving manufacturing to mitigate the effect of the duties, it could also hike the prices of some items, Creedon said. Dollar Tree has rolled out prices higher than its standard $1.25 products at about 2,900 so-called multi-price stores. Certain products can cost anywhere from $1.50 to $7 at those locations. The retailer weighed in on higher-income customers and the potential effect of tariffs as it announced its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings. Dollar Tree also said it will sell its struggling Family Dollar chain for about $1 billion to a consortium of private equity investors. Dollar Tree said its net sales for continuing operations — its namesake brand — totaled $5 billion for the quarter, while same-stores sales climbed 2%. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.11 for the period. It is unclear how the figures compare with Wall Street estimates. For fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree expects net sales of $18.5 billion to $19.1 billion from continuing operations, with same-store sales growth of 3% to 5%. It anticipates it will post adjusted earnings of $5 to $5.50 per share for the year. Creedon said the expected hit from the first round of 10% tariffs Trump levied on China in February would have been $15 million to $20 million per month, but the company has mitigated about 90% of that effect. Additional 10% duties on China imposed this month, along with 25% levies on Mexico and Canada that have only partly taken effect, would hit Dollar Tree by another $20 million per month, Creedon said. The company is working to offset those duties, but did not include them in its financial guidance due to the confusion over which tariffs will take effect and when.
Robinhood is launching bank accounts that will deliver physical cash ‘to your doorstep’

Robinhood is getting closer to becoming a full-fledged financial service. On Wednesday, the company announced a wholly online banking platform that will offer checking and savings accounts to Robinhood Gold subscribers when it launches this fall.

The platform, called Robinhood Banking, will let users access their accounts, as well as send and receive money through the Robinhood Credit Card app. It even attempts to make up for not having a physical location by having physical cash “delivered on-demand right to your doorstep.” There still aren’t many details about how this will work, but Robinhood says “coverage varies based on geographic location.”

Robinhood Banking promises a 4 percent annual percentage yield (APY) and FDIC insurance of up to $2.5 million on accounts. The company notes that since it’s not an FDIC-insured bank, it’s offering “pass-through” insurance provided by FDIC member Coastal Community Bank. Pass-through insurance involves insuring people’s funds by holding them “at an FDIC-insured bank through a third party,” according to the FDIC.

The service will offer individual and joint banking accounts at launch, along with options to create children’s accounts. Deepak Rao, Robinhood Money’s general manager and vice president, says the platform is designed to “solve many of the challenges presented by legacy banks.”

In addition to a bank account, Robinhood is launching a new wealth management platform called Robinhood Strategies. It will offer access to a mix of single stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which “are actively managed to provide access to more opportunities.” The funds have a 0.25 percent annual management fee, with a yearly cap of $250 for Robinhood Gold members.

Robinhood Strategies is available to Robinhood Gold members today, but it’s coming to all customers next month. Robinhood Gold is the company’s $5 per month (or $50 per year) subscription program that offers features like margin investing and larger instant deposits.

Later this year, Robinhood also plans to launch an AI-powered investment tool called Cortex for Gold subscribers. It will provide analyses and insights about the current market, such as why a particular stock is going up or down, as well as which stocks to consider trading.

Over the years, Robinhood has transformed itself from a simple investing app into an all-in-one hub for users’ finances. The company launched a credit card in 2024 as part of efforts to encourage people to keep their money within the widening Robinhood ecosystem, where they’ll now be able to store and withdraw cash to make investments on the app, too.

Google releases Gemini 2.5 AI model for complex thinking

Google has the pedal to the metal on its AI development. Just a few months after the debut of Gemini 2.0, the tech giant has unveiled another upgrade in Gemini 2.5. As with any new AI launch, Google is touting a strong performance on LMArena for Gemini 2.5, particularly its capabilities in coding, mathematics and science. The first model in this series is Gemini 2.5 Pro Experimental. Google said this is a thinking model that’s intended to provide responses grounded in more reasoning, analysis and context than the answers offered by classification- and prediction-driven models. It’s a different approach than Google took with the Gemini 2.0 series, which started off with the more efficient and less expensive Flash version. “With Gemini 2.5, we’ve achieved a new level of performance by combining a significantly enhanced base model with improved post-training,” the company said in a blog post attributed to Koray Kavukcuoglu, CTO of Google DeepMind. “Going forward, we’re building these thinking capabilities directly into all of our models, so they can handle more complex problems and support even more capable, context-aware agents.” Google had only just started rolling out Gemini 2.0 to its services, using it to power the newly added AI Mode in search and Deep Research for handling more complex queries. With today’s launch, expect to hear more updates from the company about getting this latest version. Gemini 2.5 Pro Experimental is available now in Google AI Studio, and Gemini Advanced members can use it directly in the Gemini app.
Here’s another look at the ‘glassy’ iOS 19 design, but Apple has bigger plans

Apple officially set the date for WWDC 2025 today, which is where it will announce iOS 19 and its other new software platforms. According to rumors, iOS 19 is set to be one of the biggest software revamps in Apple’s history. Now, a new video from Jon Prosser has more tidbits on what to expect from the all-new iOS 19 design. Mark Gurman, meanwhile, says Apple has even more planned for iOS 19 and Prosser’s renders are missing key details … Prosser previously shared mockups of the revamped Camera and Messages apps coming with iOS 19. According to Prosser, these mockups (and the ones in today’s video) were created based on actual footage he saw of iOS 19 in action. Prosser worked with 3D artist Asher Dipprey to make these mockups. Today’s video from Prosser outlines a few details on what to expect from iOS 19’s new design:
  • A “glassy, visionOS-themed” design that spans apps, buttons, the keyboard, and more.
  • The new look will feature a “more rounded aesthetic and glossy, almost glassy styling,” where edges of interface elements “sort of pop up from the screen.”
  • The keyboard in particular “almost looks like it’s floating” thanks to this new design.
  • Many similarities to the design details we’ve seen in the Apple Sports and Apple Invites apps.
One thing Prosser specifically calls out at the end of the video is that the version of iOS 19 that he saw doesn’t use circular app icons on the Home Screen. He notes that “there’s always a chance” that could change and rounded Home Screen icons could happen. In a post on social media, Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman says that these images “aren’t representative of what we’ll see at WWDC” and are “based on either very old builds or vague descriptions, missing key features.” Gurman says we should “expect more from Apple in June” than what these leaks show. As of right now, I don’t think what we’ve seen lives up to the hype that iOS 19 will be Apple’s biggest visual revamp since iOS 7. It’s good to know that Gurman says there’s more to the story.
Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Gains 15% Over Week With Inclusion In FTSE All-World Index

Carvana experienced a notable event last week with its inclusion in the FTSE All-World Index, a development that likely contributed to the company’s strong share price performance, moving up 15% over the week. This event signals increased recognition and visibility in the investment world, and potentially enhances investor interest, especially among institutional players. In the context of broader market trends, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were slightly higher, Carvana’s index recognition stands out amid a generally recovering market sentiment, bolstered by optimism around potential changes to tariff impositions and ongoing economic recovery efforts.

The last five years have seen Carvana deliver a total shareholder return of 307.85%, indicating strong performance in the market. Key developments have likely played a role in this trajectory. The integration of ADESA mega sites has expanded Carvana’s reconditioning capacity, potentially driving revenue growth by increasing the volume of cars processed and sold. Additionally, the adoption of artificial intelligence to enhance operational efficiency may contribute to higher revenues and improved margins.

Business expansions, such as launching same-day vehicle delivery in several cities, have likely improved distribution logistics and customer reach. Furthermore, a favorable debt restructuring that reduced total debt by over $1.33 billion and lowered cash interest expenses has been instrumental in enhancing financial stability. Over the past year, Carvana outperformed the US Specialty Retail industry and the broader market, reflecting its ability to capitalize on these strategic initiatives effectively.

 

After a year of 6.2% returns, Alcoa Corporation’s (NYSE:AA) share price drop last week may have less of an impact on institutional investors

If you want to know who really controls Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA), then you’ll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that institutions own the lion’s share in the company with 76% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company’s market cap fell to US$8.8b last week. Still, the 6.2% one-year gains may have helped mitigate their overall losses. We would assume however, that they would be on the lookout for weakness in the future.

Let’s delve deeper into each type of owner of Alcoa, beginning with the chart below.

ownership-breakdown

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Alcoa?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Alcoa. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Alcoa, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:AA Earnings and Revenue Growth March 25th 2025

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. We note that hedge funds don’t have a meaningful investment in Alcoa. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is The Vanguard Group, Inc. with 10% of shares outstanding. With 9.5% and 6.4% of the shares outstanding respectively, BlackRock, Inc. and Eagle Capital Management LLC are the second and third largest shareholders.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 15 shareholders have a combined ownership of 51% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock’s expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Alcoa

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that Alcoa Corporation insiders own under 1% of the company. It is a very large company, so it would be surprising to see insiders own a large proportion of the company. Though their holding amounts to less than 1%, we can see that board members collectively own US$67m worth of shares (at current prices). It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public– including retail investors — own 23% stake in the company, and hence can’t easily be ignored. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It’s always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Alcoa better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we’ve spotted 2 warning signs for Alcoa (of which 1 can’t be ignored!) you should know about.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

US stocks end higher as traders focus on tariffs, data

Wall Street stocks ended higher on Tuesday, with Apple rising and Nvidia dipping as investors assessed consumer sentiment data and bet on a more flexible trade policy stance from the Trump administration next week. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday that automobile tariffs were coming soon, while suggesting that not all proposed tariffs would be enforced in an April 2 announcement on which Wall Street is focused. “I don’t expect that we’ll get the clarity that the market is hoping for, but investors are desperate for any sort of clarity on this front, and to the extent they’ll get some of it, it’s a huge day,” said Ross Mayfield, an investment strategist at Baird. Weighed by worries that Trump’s tariffs would fuel inflation and hurt economic growth, the S&P 500 is down about 2% so far in 2025, and it is on track for its first quarterly loss since June 2023. Ratings agency Moody’s said on Tuesday that the United States’ fiscal strength is on track for a continued multiyear decline as budget deficits widen and debt becomes less affordable. Another report revealed, opens new tab a dip in consumer confidence, with the index falling to 92.9 in March – its lowest since February 2021. Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab rose 1.4%, helping keep the Nasdaq in positive territory, while Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens new tab slid 0.6%. Tesla shares rose 3.45%, adding to a 12% rally the previous day. The company’s market share in Europe continued to shrink in February as sales of the all-electric car maker dropped for a second month, even as EV registrations overall on the continent grew. KB Home (KBH.N), opens new tab fell over 6% after the homebuilder cut its full-year 2025 revenue forecast. The S&P 500 climbed 0.16% to end the session at 5,776.65 points. The Nasdaq gained 0.46% to 18,271.86 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 42,587.50 points. Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, seven rose, led by communication services (.SPLRCL), opens new tab, up 1.43%, followed by a 0.98% gain in consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD), opens new tab. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler said the central bank’s interest rate policy remains restrictive, but progress on bringing inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target has slowed. New York Fed President John Williams said firms and households were “experiencing heightened uncertainty” about what lies ahead for the economy. Among a cascade of economic indicators scheduled this week, focus will be on the personal consumption expenditures price index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – due on Friday. CrowdStrike (CRWD.O), opens new tab gained 3.3% after brokerage BTIG raised its rating on the cybersecurity company to “buy” from “neutral.” Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX), opens new tab by a 1.3-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 11 new highs and 4 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 42 new highs and 160 new lows. Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 13.0 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 16.4 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.
Gold’s Resilient Rally: Navigating a Bullish Market Landscape

Gold has demonstrated extraordinary resilience in recent months, staging an impressive rally that has captured the attention of investors worldwide. From mid-December to February, the precious metal experienced a remarkable price advance of $343, showcasing its underlying strength and potential for further growth. The market’s recent price action reveals a nuanced and compelling narrative of strategic movements and sustained bullish momentum. The initial rally began at $2,620 in mid-December, surging impressively to $2,963.20 by late February. What sets this market performance apart are the remarkably controlled corrections that followed, characterized by their shallow depth and brief duration.
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The first correction saw a 35% pullback of $122, while a subsequent Fibonacci correction dropped from $3,065 to $3,007, representing just a 23.6% retracement. These measured movements suggest an underlying market strength that continues to support gold’s upward trajectory, even as technical indicators suggest an overbought condition. David Morrison from Trade Nation provides an intriguing perspective on gold’s potential, suggesting an alternative scenario where gold could continue its upward momentum. He offers a balanced view, acknowledging both the possibility of a continued rally and the potential for a further pullback or consolidation. The upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index data emerges as a critical focal point. This economic indicator could provide crucial insights into monetary policy, potentially serving as a significant catalyst for gold prices and investor sentiment. A confluence of global economic factors is driving gold’s current market position. The dollar index has experienced fractional declines, traditionally a positive indicator for gold prices. Escalating international trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties are simultaneously increasing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. Ongoing trade conflicts, including potential tariff implementations and tensions in global markets, are further enhancing gold’s attractiveness as a store of value. The constant threat of economic instability continues to drive investors towards this precious metal. The latest market data paints an encouraging picture. The April gold futures contract stands at $3,025.90, with a recent net gain of $10.30, representing a 0.34% increase. Overseas trading in Australia has seen the contract reach $3,026.10, indicating sustained global interest. Investors are advised to maintain a close watch on several key indicators. The upcoming PCE index data, potential shifts in Federal Reserve monetary policy, ongoing geopolitical developments, and movements in the dollar index will all play crucial roles in shaping gold’s future trajectory. For those who want more information on our premium service, click here Wishing you, as always good trading,
Copper prices climb as tariff uncertainty, supply worries spur rally in industrial metal

Copper (HG=F) prices climbed closer to all-time high levels on Tuesday as indications of more measured Trump administration tariffs extended the industrial metal’s rally this year. Futures on the London Metal Exchange gained after topping $10,000 per metric ton in the prior session, while contracts on New York’s Comex increased to hover near a record. On Monday, President Trump hinted that the reciprocal levies expected on April 2 may not be as widespread as anticipated, easing worries of a global slowdown. Copper, considered a proxy of growth trends, is up more than 24% year to date in the US and 14% higher in London on speculation that Trump’s tariffs could include metal imports. The expectation has created a price difference across the Atlantic, spurring increased shipments to the US. “Front-running the potential tariff has unleashed a wave of near-term demand for copper housed in the US,” LPL Financial chief technical strategist Adam Turnquist said. Anywhere between 100,000 and 150,000 metric tons of copper are expected to reach the US in the coming weeks, according to Bloomberg estimates. The trend to front-run copper isn’t new, as it’s already been happening with gold, which recently hit new highs. White House initiatives to become more independent from sources abroad have also put the spotlight on domestic supplies. In February, the Trump administration said the “United States faces significant vulnerabilities in the copper supply chain, with increasing reliance on foreign sources for mined, smelted, and refined copper.” Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick was ordered to investigate “whether imports of copper, scrap copper, and copper’s derivative products threaten to impair national security.” The metal is used in everything from defense weapons to infrastructure, electric vehicles, and electronics. Outside of tariffs, China, the world’s largest importer of copper, has announced plans to stimulate its economy, which would boost demand. “Beijing’s pro-growth agenda is beginning to show up in the economic data, evidenced by recent better-than-expected retail sales, industrial output, and fixed-asset investment,” Turnquist said. The last time copper spiked to new highs was in May 2024. “The brief bump in copper prices from a year ago was based a bit on speculation when the realization of limited supplies became apparent, but this slow-burning rally will be based on real supply and demand fundamentals, especially supply,” Eric Saderholm, managing director of exploration and co-founder of American Pacific Mining, told Yahoo Finance. Goldman Sachs analysts recently reiterated they’re bullish on the commodity. “For now, we also maintain our bullish $10,200/t Q4 2025 forecast, on the back of strong electrification demand, China stimulus offsetting the drag from tariffs, and slower mine supply growth,” Goldman Sachs’ Eoin Dinsmore wrote. Other analysts are even more bullish, with Kostas Bintas of Mercuria Energy Group floating the possibility of $12,000 to $13,000 per ton.
GameStop to invest corporate cash in bitcoin, following in footsteps of MicroStrategy

Video game retailer GameStop announced Tuesday its board has unanimously approved a plan to buy bitcoin with its corporate cash, echoing a move made famous by MicroStrategy. The meme stock jumped more than 6% in extended trading Tuesday following the news. The announcement confirmed CNBC’s reporting in February of GameStop’s intention to add bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to its balance sheet. The video game retailer said a portion of its cash or future debt and equity issuances may be invested in bitcoin and U.S. dollar-denominated stablecoins. As of Feb. 1, GameStop held nearly $4.8 billion in cash. The firm also said it has not set a ceiling on the amount of bitcoin it may purchase. GameStop will be following in the footsteps of software company MicroStrategy, now known as Strategy, which bought billions of dollars worth of bitcoin in recent years to become the largest corporate holder of the flagship cryptocurrency. That decision prompted a rapid, albeit volatile, rise for Strategy’s stock. GameStop’s foray into cryptocurrencies marks the latest effort by CEO Ryan Cohen to revive the struggling brick-and-mortar business. Under Cohen’s leadership, GameStop has focused on cutting costs and streamlining operations to ensure the business is profitable. The company said the move could expose it to volatility associated with cryptocurrency prices. “Bitcoin, for example, is a highly volatile asset and has experienced significant price fluctuations over time. Our Bitcoin strategy has not been tested and may prove unsuccessful,” GameStop said in a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has ridden a roller coaster since President Donald Trump won reelection. After shooting up and piercing the $100,000 milestone, bitcoin has declined about 18% from its record high to a recent price of approximately $88,000. In tandem with the cryptocurrency announcement, investors also cheered a rise in GameStop’s fourth-quarter results. The firm reported net income of $131.3 million, more than double the $63.1 million earned in the same quarter last year.
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