BlackBerry (TSX:BB) Is Up 18.6% After Strong Q2, Raised 2026 Guidance and Contract Wins

BlackBerry Limited reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, swinging to a net income of US$13.3 million and raising its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of US$519 million to US$541 million.

Key business segments, including QNX and Secure Communications, delivered revenue growth and secured major government contracts and industry certifications, highlighting the company’s progress in expanding its market footprint.

We’ll explore how renewed contract wins and robust performance in Secure Communications may influence BlackBerry’s investment story going forward.

What Is BlackBerry’s Investment Narrative?

For investors considering BlackBerry, the story hinges on confidence in its rebirth as a profitable player in secure communications and automotive software, underpinned by broadening commercial and government partnerships. The company’s latest earnings beat, profitable quarter, and updated guidance have added new momentum around key short-term catalysts: renewed contract wins in Secure Communications, QNX’s automotive traction, and a recently completed share buyback. This brighter outlook has driven sharp share price gains, but also shifts the main near-term risks. While operational improvements are evident, BlackBerry’s valuation remains expensive compared to industry peers, and one-off items still cloud the quality of reported profits. The quick rally also heightens sensitivity to any disappointments, particularly if growth from new contracts takes longer than expected or broader sector trends cool. Against this backdrop, the positive news strengthens the catalyst side but does not remove the risks tied to profitability quality and high multiples.
However, there’s more to the profit story than headline numbers alone.

BlackBerry’s shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:BB Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

The Simply Wall St Community’s fair value estimates for BlackBerry span from US$3.46 up to over US$126 across 18 contributors, reflecting significant diversity in outlooks. This wide spread comes as the company’s latest contract wins may shift both risks and growth expectations, calling for closer examination of how differing views may influence future outcomes.

 

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