Today we’re going to take a look at the well-established W.W. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE:GWW). The company’s stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today we will analyse the most recent data on W.W. Grainger’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
What Is W.W. Grainger Worth?
W.W. Grainger appears to be overvalued by 22% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$1,088 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of $892.94. This means that the opportunity to buy W.W. Grainger at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since W.W. Grainger’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will W.W. Grainger generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 13% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for W.W. Grainger. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in GWW’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe GWW should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on GWW for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for GWW, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.